February 20, 2008

 

 

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 SPECIAL UPDATE

   

Governor Offers One-Time Business Tax “Cut”; Calls for $1.5 Billion Tax Increase for Businesses; Pushes Sale of State Assets and Bonds

 

Governor Blagojevich presented his Fiscal Year 2009 budget request today, calling for the General Assembly to approve a $1.2 billion economic stimulus package for families and businesses while at the same time pushing a $1.5 billion tax hike on Illinois businesses over the next two years.  These business tax hikes include:

 

·         3% payroll tax on businesses of 10 employees or more that spend less at least 4% of their payroll on healthcare for employees. Cost to businesses: $1 billion.

 

·         Increase in the state tax on gaming.  Cost to businesses: $250 million.

 

·         Closure of corporate income tax “loopholes. Cost to businesses: $250 million.

 

Despite the Comptroller’s repeated warnings about the state’s shaky financial condition, the Governor’s budget proposes an overall increase of $1.45 billion.  His proposed budget does nothing to resolve the growing Medicaid backlog, nor does it provide any relief for the State’s $2 billion in unpaid bills.  The Governor does call for a 3% reduction in agency budgets, excluding healthcare, education, and public safety, that will be achieved largely by offering another early retirement package to state employees.

 

Finally, the Governor’s proposed budget relies heavily on revenue sources that result from the sale of state assets and issuing bonds; a move that ultimately pushes the State’s financial problems onto future generations.  Furthermore, these proposals, which include the partial sale of the State Lottery, the securitization of the state’s tobacco funds, and the sale of pension obligation bonds raise serious questions about the feasibility of the Governor’s overall budget, particularly at a time when the bond market is near crisis and investors are backing away from risky, long-term investments. 

 

Other questions and concerns that arise from the Governor’s revenue proposals, particularly over the securitization of tobacco settlement dollars to pay for the economic stimulus package include:

 

·         Under the original terms of the tobacco settlement agreement, Illinois was scheduled to receive $9.1 billion through FY 2025; however, actual amounts received due to lower sales receipts are approximately 81% of the original estimated level.

 

·         Securitization of tobacco settlement receipts usually only result in lump sum payments that provide 40-60 cents on the dollar or less.

 

·         The market for tobacco settlement bonds created by securitization is already saturated and the bond market crisis has made it much more difficult for states to anticipate successful sale of these bonds.  Furthermore, states that have recently looked into the securitization of tobacco settlement dollars have abandoned those plans due to the risk and the hit they usually take on their bond rating.

 

·         If Illinois chooses to securitize its tobacco settlement dollars on top of issuing pension obligation bonds, it may take a severe hit on its bond rating, if it is able to sell those bonds at all.  States have recently experienced problems being able to sell bonds on the troubled market.

 

The chart below summarizes the major components of the Governor’s proposed budget.  The Chamber will provide a more detailed analysis of the budget in Friday’s Government Affairs Report.

 

 

 

 

Proposal

 

FY09 Estimated Cost

 

Proposed Revenue Source

 

Business Tax Credit: One-time tax credit amounting to 20% reduction in taxes for businesses that filed corporate income tax returns in 2007 and have not reduced their payroll from July 1, 2007 through July 1, 2008.

       

 

          $300 million

 

Securitize tobacco revenues into up-front payments (securitization will not impact the budget until FY11).

 

Child Tax Credit: One-time refundable tax credit of $300 per child who earn at least $3,000/year, but less than $75,000 annually for an individual or $150,000 for joint filers.

 

 

          $900 million

 

Like the business tax credit, the child tax credit will use revenues obtained through the securitization of tobacco funds.

 

Healthcare Expansion: The Governor is once again pushing his Illinois Covered plan that includes IL Covered Assist, All Kids Bridge , other affordable health insurance options, and increased healthcare capacity, including promotion of electronic health records.

 

 

 

$417 million for FY09,

 

$1 billion by FY10

 

The governor is once again proposing a 3% payroll tax on businesses that do not spend at least 4% of their payroll on healthcare for their employees.

 

Illinois Works: $25 billion capital plan for school construction, roads, transit, environment and energy infrastructure projects (identical to Senate plan passed last year).

 

$11 billion: $7 billion for Pay as You Go; $3.8 billion in bonds (debt service will come from $300 million in annual transfers from Road Fund)

 

Partial Lottery Concession- State would maintain 20% ownership and regulation of State Lottery, while leasing remaining 80% to a private investor.

 

Education Funding Increase: No allocation has been identified.

 

 

          $300 million

 

Proposal calls for an increase in the State gaming tax ($250 million) and sale of the 10th casino license.

 

Closing the budget hole for FY08

 

            $750 million

 

Close corporate tax loopholes- list is similar to those proposed by the Governor last year ($250 million); sweep State funds ($500 million)

 

Pension Reform (refinancing of pension debt)

 

 

           $16 billion

 

Pension obligation bonds (refinance high interest pension debt with low interest obligation bonds).  Governor’s proposal claims to save State $55 billion in long term with $16 billion available in immediate assets to the pension fund.